⚡ ADHD Negative Behavior — Bayesian Causal Network (BCN) Dashboard

In plain wordsADHD makes it hard to focus and sit still, which can lead to problem behaviours. This tool combines treatments and shows how much they help. The single strongest option is a stimulant medicine (lisdexamfetamine), and adding active, thinking-heavy exercise helps too. Best-case research estimates, not medical advice.
Judea Pearl SCM | do-Calculus | Backdoor Adjustment | ρ̄=0.30 Cross-Correlation Removal | 20 Interventions | 6 Pathways
Level I–IV Evidence
🧪 Intervention Controls
0 selected
Pearl-Adj. HR
Select interventions
Rel. Risk Reduction
Abs. risk: —
NNT
ARR: —
Stack PNS
n=0 interventions
Min. E-Value
Unmeasured confounding
⚙️ Global Cross-Correlation ρ̄ (Backdoor Adjustment Sensitivity)
ρ̄ =
Oxford CEBM: Level I→A · II→B · III→C. Lower grades excluded from the combined HR.
0.30 (Low ρ̄ = less redundancy; High ρ̄ = more mechanistic overlap)
📊 Overview
🔀 What-If
🔁 If-Not-For
🎯 Sensitivity
💊 Dose-Response
🕸️ Causal DAG
🧬 Scenarios
📚 Evidence
Pearl-Adjusted HR by Intervention (lower = more protective) Sorted by raw HR
Selected Stack — Marginal Contribution to HR Reduction
Pathway-Level Combined HR
What-If Analysis: For each intervention, shows the marginal change in combined HR if that intervention were added to (or removed from) the current selection. Sorted by impact magnitude.
Waterfall: Marginal HR Contribution (Selected Protocol)
InterventionCurrent HR (all)HR if Added/RemovedΔNBO Prob.Priority
If-Not-For (Population Attributable Risk): What would the NBO probability be if a given intervention had NEVER existed (counterfactual Pearl Layer 3)?
InterventionPAR (abs.)PAR%NBO without thisInterpretation
Sensitivity Analysis: How does the combined HR change as cross-correlation ρ̄ and baseline risk assumptions vary? Highlighted row = current ρ̄ setting.
ρ̄ Sensitivity — Combined HR for Selected Protocol
ρ̄Combined HRAbs. RiskRel. ReductionNNTWeight w
E-Value Sensitivity — Unmeasured Confounding Threshold
InterventionHRE-ValueRobustness
Dose-response profiles for key interventions. Sliders in the left panel adjust the effective HR based on dose tier (Low / Optimal / High).
InterventionDose SettingEffective HRDose DescriptionSaturation Notes
🕸️ Directed Acyclic Graph — Pearl SCM Causal Structure
DAG Legend: Blue arrows = direct causal paths (do-calculus identified). Dashed lines = cross-pathway correlations (ρ). Red node = outcome (NBO). Pathway nodes are mediators. Intervention nodes connect to their respective pathway mediator.
Pre-computed optimal clinical stacks. Click a scenario to load it into the selection panel.
Evidence Summary: Raw effect sizes from systematic reviews and meta-analyses (2018–2025). SMD values pre-dating ρ̄ adjustment.
IDInterventionSMDHR (raw)E-ValuePNSLevelKey Citations